Nate Silver

Statistician, journalist, author

American East Lansing, Michigan, U.S.

Quick Info

ProfessionStatistician, journalist, author
NationalityAmerican
Date of Birth13/01/1978
Age48 years
BirthplaceEast Lansing, Michigan, U.S.

Latest News about Nate Silver

12/08/2026

Silver launched a new midterm model that made Democrats slight favorites to win the Senate in 2026. The model drew attention because it diverged from prediction markets, which were less confident about a Democratic takeover.

04/08/2026

Silver said Republicans still had a low-probability path to holding the House in the 2026 midterms despite weak national polling. He described the situation as difficult for Republicans, but not impossible.

29/06/2026

Nate Silver said prediction markets were underestimating Democratic chances in the 2026 midterm elections, especially for control of the House of Representatives. His comments framed Democrats as stronger than market odds suggested, while still treating the outcome as uncertain.

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Bio/Wiki

Full NameNathaniel Read Silver
Known ForFounding FiveThirtyEight and election forecasting
Notable Works
  • The Signal and the Noise
  • On the Edge

Educational Qualification(s)

Alma MaterUniversity of Chicago

Personal Life

Birth NameNathaniel Read Silver

Family

FatherBrian David Silver
MotherSally (Thrun)

Career

Occupations
  • Statistician
  • journalist
  • writer
  • poker player
  • sports gambler
Highlights
  • Founder of FiveThirtyEight
  • Former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight
  • Former special correspondent for ABC News
  • Known for baseball and election analysis
  • Developed PECOTA
Current Work
  • Publishes Silver Bulletin
  • Adviser to Polymarket

Some Lesser Known Facts

1. Worked on baseball statistics and forecasting early in his career
2. Gained national attention after his 2008 election predictions
3. Predicted the winner of all 50 states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election
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